Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 13.175898 15.333787 17.678984 20.410034 23.495653 26.866329 30.819295
2025-11-09 9.272812 12.162279 15.623898 20.041784 25.491930 31.954793 40.153706
2025-11-16 6.938702 10.034768 14.045887 19.545274 26.799430 35.942354 48.222795
2025-11-23 5.287927 8.338091 12.569028 18.735487 27.337512 38.734678 54.763467
2025-11-30 4.536466 7.692090 12.324411 19.420412 29.772114 44.037880 64.830880
2025-12-07 3.956833 7.170693 12.136789 20.089099 32.154901 49.359731 75.216555
2025-12-14 3.262591 6.329501 11.321313 19.676618 32.853850 52.277257 82.342188
2025-12-21 2.685826 5.570950 10.509802 19.133938 33.240762 54.687957 88.802692
2025-12-28 2.455205 5.380838 10.599158 20.026888 35.902193 60.633219 100.817331
2026-01-04 2.215952 5.129180 10.539622 20.643288 38.138364 66.033312 112.280968
2026-01-11 1.937312 4.747806 10.190489 20.704536 39.432538 69.998710 121.704688
2026-01-18 1.712783 4.435402 9.923034 20.868683 40.888355 74.278387 131.818459
2026-01-25 1.450642 4.010392 9.417737 20.611175 41.715663 77.794145 141.284763
2026-02-01 1.208715 3.582846 8.852419 20.190032 42.244861 80.907883 150.405931
2026-02-08 1.000493 3.185135 8.282926 19.681778 42.550105 83.637042 159.029526
2026-02-15 0.807405 2.773728 7.610121 18.865662 42.172324 85.106832 165.545439
2026-02-22 0.737709 2.681486 7.650498 19.554394 44.769087 92.051887 181.949528
2026-03-01 0.674663 2.592685 7.684017 20.226982 47.379248 99.165046 199.005964
2026-03-08 0.566069 2.334737 7.256958 19.812060 47.727750 102.083412 208.670149
2026-03-15 0.469225 2.083604 6.800810 19.266167 47.740065 104.342824 217.222463
2026-03-22 0.441156 2.059589 6.945771 20.164394 50.899912 112.831968 237.702294
2026-03-29 0.405379 1.997756 6.976319 20.784418 53.496784 120.354822 256.710279
2026-04-05 0.355841 1.868334 6.792603 20.846025 54.856669 125.495363 271.435265